Author Archives: samchapman

Reporting the PCC elections – confusing messages

Posted on 18/11/2012 by samchapman

Giselle Green ran Siobhan Benita’s media campaign in the recent London Mayoral election. She is an ex-BBC News producer.   The media's obsession with the low turnout for the PCC elections was a self-fulfilling prophecy. Right from the start the … Continue reading →

Posted in Independents, Media coverage, Perspectives | 7 Comments

Your New Best Friend

Posted on 17/11/2012 by samchapman

Congratulations, Commissioner – well done! The blur of praise and well-wishes may be getting a bit much now, or you still may be in the psychological state of euphoria. Good job you have a few days to get over it … Continue reading →

Posted in Perspectives | 6 Comments

Results 2012

Posted on 16/11/2012 by samchapman

Winning Candidates With 41 of 41 results… Conservatives – 16 Labour – 13 Independent – 12 The predictions referred to below are the baselines I suggested from Police Foundation research and national polling on party preferences – in the absence … Continue reading →

Posted in Resources | Leave a comment

Early results show few, but thoughtful, voters

Posted on 16/11/2012 by samchapman

I’ve been doing media interviews this morning, so thought I should start my own results coverage online by summing up what I think we are learning about the election. I should mention that Bernard Rix has been running his own … Continue reading →

Posted in Perspectives | 4 Comments

Getting Away With It

Posted on 15/11/2012 by samchapman

Today, yes, election day, at 4.29 pm I received information from Lancashire Police Authority which I first requested from them on 3 October. It is over 6 weeks later, and 2 weeks beyond the legal limit for a Freedom of … Continue reading →

Posted in Perspectives | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Make me wrong.

Posted on 15/11/2012 by samchapman

Today, you can make me wrong. Not just a little wrong but very wrong. My post yesterday listed predicted baselines against which we can assess the election results. It has largely been supported by Jon Collins of the Police Foundation … Continue reading →

Posted in Perspectives | Tagged | 17 Comments

Be of good cheer

Posted on 14/11/2012 by samchapman

Any of you who are feeling sad having read the last post on baselines for the election results, should head on over to MSN News UK where you can find a few words of cheer from your's truly.  

Posted in Perspectives | 1 Comment

Reading the runes

Posted on 14/11/2012 by samchapman

Elections can be very unpredictable, and this one may be more so than most. We don't know the impact local candidates have been having. We don't know who has managed some form of contact with electors which their opponents have … Continue reading →

Posted in Perspectives, Resources | 19 Comments

Candidate Statement of Kevin Hurley

Posted on 13/11/2012 by samchapman

Kevin Hurley is standing for Surrey Police and Crime Commissioner as an Independent under the banner of “Zero Tolerance Policing ex Chief“   Take a Zero Tolerance Policing Approach I will lead a relentless focus on those who blight our … Continue reading →

Posted in Candidate Statements, Independents | Tagged | 3 Comments

Candidate Statement of David Rogers

Posted on 13/11/2012 by samchapman

David Rogers is the Liberal Democrat Candidate for Sussex Police and Crime Commissioner I’ve lived in Sussex for nearly 40 years, over 35 of them as an elected councillor. My children grew up here. It’s a great place to live. … Continue reading →

Posted in Candidate Statements, Liberal Democrats | Tagged | Leave a comment