Which costs more? Prison or community punishment?

Richard Enderby is a TopOfTheCops reader from Lincolnshire. He gives his perspective here on an issue he would like candidates to address – the relative costs of community sentences and imprisonment. If you would like your perspective on this or another relevant subject considered for publication, drop a line to Editor@TopOfTheCops.com

Candidates for the new Police Commissioner posts must initially be judged by what they say they intend doing in relation to actual policing in their county, and ultimately judged on whether they succeed, or it has been “Rhetoric” to quote the current buzz word. We must not let them detract from that, and saying they support being “Soft on crime” will ensure they do not get my vote.

However many prospective candidates have sidelined us into their views on such things as “Rehabilitation” “Community sentencing” etc, at the expense of policing, partnership working with the Chief Constable,  and supporting their police force where necessary. Although outside their new domain, they are singing the virtues of such “Soft” alternatives, rather than leaning towards “Zero tolerance.” Although a lower level issue zero tolerance on the wearing of seatbelts certainly worked in Lincs.

They are entitled to their opinions, and I trust the voters will take note. Furthermore their mantra usually stresses how much it costs to keep someone in prison. To me the cost is “What it takes” for many criminals and crimes, and it is impossible for them to argue against the fact that when someone is in prison they are hopefully not committing crimes. I would add I am not against rehabilitation in many instances, especially for first offenders – Total rejection would be stupid!

Whilst the cost of keeping someone in prison is important, and is far too expensive in my humble opinion, I have never seen them quoting the cost of keeping criminals out of jail, under some other “Soft sentence.”

There must be a huge cost in administration, bureaucracy, supervision, police time, benefit payments, etc in keeping someone under such schemes as “Community Sentences” – Not forgetting the capital cost of tags, monitoring equipment, etc, together with the cost to their victims, in both cash, stress, fairness, etc. To add to everything else is the so called “Fear factor” of people, many of them old and vulnerable, because they know the criminal is at large in their community.

There must be many more costs that I haven’t even thought of yet….and as we know from recent reports, the success rate is extremely low.

Work needs to be done in accurately quantifying these costs to redress the balance, and people must at least recognise the scales tip both ways.

Posted in Perspectives | 3 Comments

Are there too many Independents in your area?

There is a fair amount of evidence that in the Police and Crime Commissioner election Independents are seen by a decent number of people as a Good Thing.

I’ve never been persuaded that it was enough to just be Independent to be worthy of voters’ support, but a number of candidates offer more than this, and it is to be hoped that this is not lost in the wider point of their not belonging to a political party. But if, as the Government’s attempts to secure successful people to run on a non-partisan basis suggests, Independents are a Good Thing, we should be entitled to ask whether it is possible that we will have too much of them.

Have a look at the TopOfTheCops list of declared Independents. You will see that some areas don’t have any, but that others have whole collections of them, and this is the problem I am seeking to highlight. A portion of the electorate will do a little bit of research before they cast their vote. They may read leaflets from candidates, search the web, watch an item on the television. They may even read this site. But many more will pick up the ballot paper at the polling station or straight off their doormat and will make a decision there and then as to who to support.

The problem at that point is that Independents are just that – described on the ballot paper as Independents and nothing more. They have no other distinguishing features or party descriptions to help voters make their decisions. No party emblems to represent a safe and familiar choice. So where there are a bunch of them on the same ballot paper, they become their own worst enemy. Anyone wanting to vote for an Independent in such circumstances has too much choice in a market seriously far from ‘perfect information’.

True, voters have two votes in this election, so people can lend their first vote to an Independent before having a party as a back-up plan to keep the ‘other lot’ out, but this doesn’t work so well when there are 6 to choose from, because it compromises the chances of any of the Independents to get through to the top two candidates from whom the winner will be picked.

And in some areas the decision is even more problematic. In Gwent you have a choice of a seasoned local ex-Police officer Independent in the form of Chris Wright, and a seasoned local ex-Police officer Independent in the form of Ian Johnston. I’ve met and spoken to both, and they have a lot to differentiate between them, but most voters will not meet or speak to even one of them, and so may struggle to choose. ‘Independent’ lacks a Unique Selling Point.

In some ways it would be helpful if Independents could cluster into groups with a similar set of skills or policies to offer, and if this could be represented on the ballot paper. Ironically, some would call this a political party, and legally that might be the requirement, but I think it harsh to treat this as an Either/Or thing. My own view is that one of the main things people value is that Independents are some of the people clearly not beholden to a political party, but it’s also fair to recognise that the Kevin Hurleys of this world are not the same as the Mervyn Barretts, and it would be helpful to have a way of distinguishing between them that did not require the average voter to follow this election as closely as you who are reading this are currently doing.

If I recall election law properly I remember coming across the phrase “groups of Independents”, but I don’t know if they have the same flexibility as parties on the description part of the ballot paper. I think, however, that they should.

Posted in Perspectives | 2 Comments

In for a penny…

You may remember that a few months ago TopOfTheCops featured a number of problems that Labour were having with their PCC selection process, particularly around the shortlisting of candidates, which was so bad it was funny.

Well, you wouldn't expect me to ignore a report of Tories having similar problems, would you?

I have learnt that the Conservative Party is conducting an investigation into the conduct of the selection process for their West Midlands PCC candidate. I have made efforts to get the chosen candidate and runner-up to spill the beans on this but without much success.

Matt Bennett, who won the selection, didn't want to say anything on the subject. Joe Tildesley, the runner-up, gave an answer that was a tad more revealing:- “'I have been sworn to secrecy and told in no uncertain terms that I am not to speak to the press. I have submitted some paperwork to the party but I am not prepared to say anything more at this time”.

Ain't open politics great!

You may remember that the West Midlands Conservatives selected by a series of meetings open to the public, and that the margin of victory was reportedly 10 votes across 4 meetings. Consequently there are plenty of folk out there able to give an account of what happened, and with candidates suffering from uncharacteristic muteness, we are fortunate that this includes the loyal readership of TopOfTheCops, who have responded to my appeals for info, and report:-

  • some people being excluded from the public meetings
  • candidates seeking to fill the meetings with supporters
  • a lack of organisation at the meetings
  • a lack of clarity on whether attendees needed to be registered beforehand
  • a lack of clarity as to whether rules on who could attend and vote were applied consistently
  • the full results not put being put in the public domain straight away (maybe not at all), and consequently there has been a fair element of suspicion and speculation because of this vacuum created by the party.

So, plenty to investigate, it seems – but was it this, or was it something else? My interest was piqued, and I submitted a list of questions to the party to give them a chance to explain what was happening on this site (I've done the same with Labour in the past). You know the sort of thing:-

  1. What is the reason for the investigation?
  2. Who ordered it?
  3. Who is conducting it?
  4. What are their terms of reference?
  5. When will it report?
  6. In what other areas have PCC selections been subject of complaint?
  7. In what other areas have PCC selections been investigated?
  8. In what other areas are PCC selections being investigated?

Nothing too hard. All these were answered with the bland assertion that the party does not comment on internal party matters.

Well, I know a number of candidates out there are not overly chuffed with how they have been treated, but are not yet ready to go public. They may wish to consider that it appears that some sort of investigation is underway in the West Midlands. No doubt they will be wondering what the criteria are for deciding which concerns are investigated and which are not.

If you have any issues you wish to report to TopOfTheCops, whether about the West Midlands selection, other selections in other areas or parties, or any other PCC stuff, please feel free to discuss with me at Editor@TopOfTheCops.com

Seeing as I was asking, I also enquired of the Conservatives as to what steps they had taken to check that selected candidates are not disqualified from standing, in the wake of the incident where Keiron Mallon had declared a conviction to them, and they had failed to spot it disqualified him from standing. Guess what the response was – the party does not comment on internal party matters.

Labour have hardly been very clear about what they are doing on this issue and, like the Conservatives, dealt with appeals in PCC selections by not having an appeals process.

Which brings me to these two observations – how can we have proper transparency in government when our political parties are so committed to being opaque? And, should we ever fall into the abyss of state funding of political parties, does that mean they would be subject to Freedom Of Information requests, like other parts of the public sector?

 

Posted in Conservatives, Perspectives, Selecting Candidates | Tagged , | 3 Comments

Turned out nice again

This weekend the Electoral Reform Society added to the worries around the Police and Crime Commissioner election when they published an estimated turnout of 18.5% for November's election. While Policing Minister Nick Herbert had famously spent an earlier part of the week on the Today programme refusing to give Evan Davis a figure for what would constitute a good turnout, it is unlikely that the Society's prediction will have brought him much cheer.

However, it may be worth looking a little deeper, at the Society's own document on how they arrived at their figures.

Firstly, they started with a baseline of 'c. 34%' because 'Recent Local Election Turnouts are in this region'. I don't disagree with that, or with the decision to assume a turnout baseline similar to a local election rather than a national one, but being used to reading opinion polls and research reports, the description of the baseline was lacking a certain precision that I have come to expect.

They deduct 6% because the election is in November rather than May, based on data from Rallings and Thrasher on variable turnout at local by-elections – seems fairly sensible. Rallings and Thrasher are acknowledged good-eggs/experts in this sort of thing.

Then they deduct 5.5% to reflect the fact that turnout is lower when there is no free mailshot, and boosted when there is one.

Then they deduct 4% because there aren't going to be any Party Political Broadcasts (technically Party Election Broadcasts, but I'll not fuss too much about that).

But, WAIT A COTTON-PICKIN MINUTE, did they really just deduct 5.5% for there being no free mailshot from a local election baseline? Local Elections don't have free mailshots, so surely the lack of one is factored in already in the 34% they started with? Taking it off again is a form of double-counting.

Now, there are other factors they mention but couldn't measure, and others they perhaps didn't mention, but I noticed that while my references to their 18.5% turnout were retweeted, my query as to the double-counting did not fare so well. Sometimes we are not truly happy unless we are being grumpy.

Update: – the Electoral Reform Society have responded to this article in the comments section of an article on their website. They explain the reasons behind 34% (which is fine), and say the 5.5% deduction is about measuring campaign intensity rather than the presence of a mailshot per se. Thanks to them for the response – have a look everyone and see what you think.

 

Posted in Media coverage, Perspectives, Resources | 2 Comments

Lighting the blue touch paper

You are going to have to read this one to the end!

The Senior Presiding Judge for England and Wales has issued new guidance, which you can find on the APCCs website, following TopOfTheCops revelation of his previous decision to ban magistrates from lots of PCC-related activities, and the subsequent efforts of TopOfTheCops readers to negotiate changes.

The original report, which was quickly picked up by national news outlets, criticised the judge for the following directions:-

  • Requiring magistrates to resign from the bench on becoming a candidate.
  • Preventing magistrates from active participation in the election.
  • Preventing magistrates as members of the judiciary from meeting PCC candidates.
  • Banning magistrates from Police and Crime Panels

and so TopOfTheCops was the first to demand that the ruling be reconsidered, as reported by the Guardian.

That has now been done, and each of these decisions has been revoked. The implied point that an elected PCC could not be a magistrate has also been downgraded to a question that magistrates must ask themselves – “whether it is possible to hold office as a PCC and a magistrate”, with the prompt that “it is the firm view of the senior judiciary that the two roles are not compatible”. That’s not a direction though, which is quite a capitulation.

The PCC Candidates who have been meeting the judges are expressing their contentment with the final decision, being all nice about it, etc. But let’s face it, the initial direction was a major error by the judge, and needs to be seen in the context of other directions interfering with blogging and the use of social media by magistrates and, I am told, banning magistrates from Community Safety Partnerships. These directions are deeply flawed and should not have been made. They have weakened the position of the senior judiciary.

So, now that we have the climbdown, it is probably the time to tell you about the little bomb in the original post that has been ticking away unnoticed ever since. One word – “leafleting“.

Yes – TopOfTheCops reported “If they just want to participate actively, whatever that means (leafleting?), they should take a leave of absence.

This has worked its way into the judge’s new guidance:-

It is not practicable to give detailed guidance on what amounts to ‘active’ campaigning. Magistrates should use their common sense and judgements regarding this. (For example low-level activity, such as delivering leaflets is probably not within the description.)

Now, transport yourself into another profession whose activity is routinely politically-restricted, such as certain local government officers or Police Authority Staff. Who can now tell them that low-level political activity, such as leafleting, is not OK?

And what about cops? This doesn’t apply perfectly to cops, due to the operation of specific election law that makes it a criminal offence for a police officer to encourage anyone to vote in an election (see s.60 here). But what about the distribution of information which does not encourage people to vote or not? What about material outside the limited formal election period (which we are not yet in)? Can cops leaflet in those circumstances? Does this guidance not have the potential to undermine the other restrictions on officers’ political activity, by categorising some activities as not sufficiently active to count, and thereby providing a ready defence from the country’s most senior judge for low-level political activity?

I realise that the judge’s guidance does not have the status of a ruling on the precise terms of a statute, but that doesn’t stop it from having persuasive force, and opening a can of worms in the process. Cops will want to know why when they are off-duty they should be any less free than a magistrate on a leave of absence. The full ramifications are beyond my legal knowledge to describe in detail, so I’ll content myself with raising the questions.

I shall now retreat to a safe distance.

Posted in Perspectives | 6 Comments

Be afraid; be very afraid of who you elect as your Commissioner

Mervyn Barrett OBE, an Independent Candidate in Lincolnshire, gives his view on “tough on crime”. TopOfTheCops view on the same issue is here, but if you would like to pen an alternative view on this or another relevant topic, why not discuss it with Editor@TopOfTheCops.com – and we are still taking ideas for other shorter debate pieces where the content is anticipated mostly to be in the comments section.

I have been struck by the tough law and order rhetoric expressed by a few candidates for Police and Crime Commissioner. Struck, not because I do not expect to hear such things; some candidates will always take this stance because they think it appeals to voters. But struck because a few candidates, including those who ought to know better, clearly believe in what they say.

The problem with their approach of course is that it doesn’t work. It is simply empty rhetoric. It satisfies basic desires within us; it is not based on an analysis of what works.

Take, for instance, zero tolerance. It is clear that more than one candidate will take a zero tolerance approach to policing, drawing on their experience and, I guess, Bill Bratton's approach in New York. Analysis of Mr Bratton's approach by researchers at Bristol University suggests that the fall in crime in New York cannot be attributed to zero tolerance. Amongst the reasons they give is that crime fell at the same time in other American cities that had not adopted the same approach.

Zero tolerance conveys the idea of the police seizing the streets, taking no nonsense from anyone, least of all young people. As one candidate put it, 'police officers should be walking straight down the middle of the pavement, not standing scared in doorways. If yobs don't get out of the way then walk through them'. The terminology 'yobs' and the improbable image of police officers standing scared in doorways aside, do any of us, indeed do the police themselves, want to be walking straight down the middle of the pavement, knocking aside those who get in the way? Of course we don’t, and the police don’t. The police are a service, not a force. Have candidates forgotten the riots of a year ago when people felt so alienated from the police and the authorities?

A number of candidates seem to think the Police and Crime Commissioner will have a prosecution and sentencing brief. The police don’t prosecute anymore – that’s the Crown Prosecution Service’s job. Sentencing has never been in the police's gift and nor is it ever likely to be in the gift of Commissioners. So to talk about 'locking up burglars' and making 'the prisons build loft extensions' is never going to happen, no matter what a few gullible voters might think. 'Seizing back the assets of criminals' is again the responsibility of the courts and prosecution service, not Commissioners.

'The only way of stopping a career burglar from burgling is by locking him up until he stops'. The statement is problematic on a number of levels. I will pick just one of them. In order to lock up a burglar, you have to catch him in the first place. There will never ever be enough police officers around to provide enough patrol cover to prevent anyone from sneaking into property when no-one is looking. And tax payers might have something to say about ‘loft extensions’. They don't come cheap.P rison building aside, it costs more than £35,000 a year to lock someone up.

There's more than one way of stopping a career burglar. Being tough on the causes of his offending, often drug related, is one way and often a cheaper, more effective way than imprisonment.This is not empty rhetoric – I have worked on many initiatives that are proven to work far better and more cheaply than prison in cutting crime. Drug treatment for instance works and is cost effective. I’ve worked with countless drug offenders over the years and seen the difference first hand. What’s more the 2010 National Audit Office report, Tackling Drug Use, concluded that for every £1 invested in drug treatment we save £2.50 later on.

At the end of the day how we reduce the number of criminals is immaterial – what matters is that we do reduce them because fewer criminals mean fewer victims.

 

Posted in Independents, Perspectives | 25 Comments

Candidate Statement of David Bowles

David Bowles is standing as an Independent candidate to be the Police and Crime Commissioner for Lincolnshire. If you are intending to stand to be Police and Crime Commissioner where you live, you can submit your own Candidate Statement, so get in touch at Editor@TopOfTheCops.com. Others are on the way, and we are looking for 400 words, and a photo of you to which you have rights.

Lincolnshire resident David Bowles is experienced as a Chief Executive and Chairman of complex public sector organisations with a sound background in finance. He believes the Police Force should remain independent from party politics and is concerned we are sleepwalking towards an American system of ‘buying’ public office.

David is never afraid to stand up for what is right; he is independent in every way:

  • He is not, nor has ever been, a member of a political party
  • He is not touting for financial support for his campaign

David was Chief Executive of Lincolnshire County Council and in this post he showed great integrity.  Knowing it would cost him his job he still stood up to the politicians in charge when he saw wrong doing. He is widely credited with ensuring the corrupt Leader of the Conservative controlled Council, Jim Speechley was convicted and jailed for misconduct in public office.

As Chairman of the United Lincolnshire Hospitals NHS Trust David’s compassion came to the fore as he fought for patients to be put before targets under the then Labour Government.  Again he did the right thing by the people he worked with and cared for taking a public stand against what his professional team advised him were dangerous practices.

In David’s manifesto, published on his website www.davidbowles.org.uk he makes his commitments to the people of Lincolnshire including:

  • Listening and responding to local people’s concerns
  • Resisting proposed mergers with other forces
  • Fighting for better funding for Lincolnshire
  • Responding effectively to concerns about anti social behaviour
  • Holding the Police and their contractors, ( G4S) to account

David  knows the issues that concern people in Lincolnshire and, if elected, will lobby to address them:

  • Ensuring the human rights of victims come before those of the criminal
  • Restricting entry to the UK  of criminals from any country
  • Substantial, appropriate sentencing for drug dealers
  • Effective drug and alcohol rehabilitation programmes to tackle reoffending
  • Substantial, appropriate sentencing for carrying a knife or gun

David Bowles has headed up complex, publicly accountable organisations as a Chief Executive and as a non executive Chairman; a proven principled leader who:

  • listens to his professionally qualified teams,
  • listens to the public he serves
  • is fearless in tackling politicians at a local and national level to ensure the organisation he is responsible for and the people it serves are treated fairly.

Nobody else standing in Lincolnshire is more independent or better qualified.

davidbowles.org.uk

Posted in Candidate Statements, Independents | 3 Comments

After the Olympics

After yesterday's publication of the list of candidates who had declared they had no reason to be worried about a criminal record keeping them out of the race, there have been a few more entries.

The first is a surprise to some – Alan Charles, who has been reinstated as Labour candidate for Derbyshire after receiving advice that his teenage conditional discharge 47 years ago didn't count as a conviction after all. TopOfTheCops readers won't be surprised at this – it's what we told you last Friday when he announced he was standing down. In fact, it's what I emailed him when I heard, though I still haven't had a response. So, no actual declaration to me, but I'm going to count his reinstatement as a declaration, given that he's clearly aware of the law, has checked his compliance, and now thinks he can stand.

He blames the Tory government, which I've questionned. Let's be clear, the Home Office hasn't covered itself in glory on this one, but I still contend that a basic thing to do before applying for a job is to see whether you are qualified, and any brushes with the law should be considered, not least for political reasons. Some folk in Derbyshire are no doubt wondering why they haven't yet been told what Mr Charles's 12 month conditional discharge is for, and why this detail has been kept from them.

Another curiosity was the group of Independent candidates who, refusing to pay the price of a stamp, took a letter to Downing Street complaining about the lack of a mailshot for candidates in the PCC election. I'm with them on the issue, though my preference was for inclusion of Candidate Statements in the booklet from the Electoral Commission which will be going through every door anyway. What I don't understand is why the protest is being made now, in August, when the Olympics has finally left the news and the media get desperate for stories, but more importantly when it's too late to change the arrangements. It would have been better to protest on say 13 March, 5 months ago, when TopOfTheCops first published a view on this issue, supporting concerns already expressed by the Electoral Commission. Perhaps some of the candidates did object then, but by giving us this piece of political theatre yesterday, when the only point is the publicity it secures, it raises the question of whether the new politics is any different from the old politics – a triumph of style over substance.

The demo revealed one new candidateex-cop Kevin Hurley, standing as an Independent in Surrey, who immediately provided reassurances on his eligibility to stand, and therefore joins our list. For people like me he looks like he will be fun.

Other new members of the list of candidates who have declared their relative innocence are:-

Kent – Independent Dai Liyanage

Leicestershire – Independent Suleman Nagdi

Surrey – Independent Peter Williams

Warwickshire – Conservative Fraser Pithie

West Midlands – Independent Cath Hannon

 

So that's 40 candidates who have made a declaration now.

Posted in Perspectives | 3 Comments

Which candidates are in the clear?

Recent withdrawals from the PCC elections flow from an increased appreciation of the strict nature of the rules on how previous convictions, including otherwise 'spent' convictions and those incurred as a juvenile, can disqualify a person from standing. Those withdrawals have also raised doubt as to who is able to stand, especially as they have exposed weaknesses in the selection procedures of both Labour and the Conservatives.

Today on TopOfTheCops we reveal which candidates have declared that they have looked at the rules on previous convictions and still believe themselves to be qualified to stand.

And that means we also identify the others – over in our Candidates' Section.

 

Posted in Perspectives | 2 Comments

You fought the law, and you won.

On Thursday, TopOfTheCops revealed exclusively to the world how one of Britain's most senior judges had decided to do what Parliament had not, and ban magistrates from standing as Police and Crime Commissioners.

TopOfTheCops readers in the press began to share the story so that within a day most of the major papers were carrying it.

TopOfTheCops readers at the Local Government Association criticised the direction as nonsensical.

TopOfTheCops readers who are standing for PCC positions banded together across parties to write a letter of protest to the judge, backed by legal advice sought by Lincolnshire Independent candidate Mervyn Barrett.

And the judge backed down.

Because some magistrates had declared their candidacy before the direction was made he “would not press” them to resign – just take a leave of absence during the campaign.

More needs to be done. The signatories to the letter will meet the judge on Wednesday to press for more. It's likely they will press for the ban on magistrates serving on Police and Crime Panels to be lifted. Perhaps magistrates should be allowed to do the normal campaigning behaviour of party activists. Whether any will press for successfully elected PCCs to remain on the bench remains to be seen. My own view is that the separation of powers can be taken too far. A morning once a fortnight seeing local crime from a magistrate's perspective may be a very useful experience for a PCC.

Maybe there will be a bit of 'no decision about us without us' in response to the lack of consultation before this edict.

So this was a tiny victory for TopOfTheCops readers, and a lot remains to be changed. But while it was a tiny victory, it was also an important precedent. Having overstepped the mark, a senior judge found himself answering to press and public, almost precisely the fear that motivates the judiciary around judicial independence.

Ironically the judge who said that magistrates, holding judicial office, should not meet PCC candidates, will now be meeting PCC candidates himself.

Nowhere is it written that PCCs have such powers to change a judicial ruling, still less the people who are merely candidates for the post, but here we see the beginnings of officials bowing to influence rather than formal powers, and this to people who don't yet have the mandate of millions behind them

Just imagine what it will be like when they are the real thing.

 

Posted in Perspectives | 7 Comments